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风电变流技术 储能系统 深度学习 ★ 5.0

基于OWT-STGradRAM的超短期时空风速预测

Ultra-Short-Term Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Prediction Based on OWT-STGradRAM

作者 Feihu Hu · Xuan Feng · Huaiwen Xu · Xinhao Liang · Xuanyuan Wang
期刊 IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy
出版日期 2025年2月
技术分类 风电变流技术
技术标签 储能系统 深度学习
相关度评分 ★★★★★ 5.0 / 5.0
关键词 风力发电预测 深度学习 时空预测方法 风速预测 预测精度
语言:

中文摘要

考虑风电场中风机站点的方向与距离特征有助于提升风电功率预测精度。本文提出一种基于正交风向变换时空梯度回归激活映射(OWT-STGrad-RAM)的深度学习时空预测方法。该模型将风电场编码为图像,各风机作为图像中的点,通过时空融合卷积网络集成风速、温度和气压等多源数据进行特征融合与预训练,构建特征数据集。利用OWT消除不同主导风向的影响,结合STGrad-RAM刻画风机节点间的方位与距离关系,增强空间特征的可解释性,并用于风速预测。实验结果表明,所提方法在预测精度上显著优于对比模型。

English Abstract

Taking into account the orientation and distance characteristics of wind turbine stations in wind farms can improve the accuracy of wind power prediction. This paper proposed a deep learning spatio-temporal prediction method named orthogonal wind direction transformation spatio-temporal gradient Regression Activation Mapping (OWT-STGrad-RAM) for wind speed prediction. The model encodes the wind farm using an image, and each wind turbine is encoded as a point in the image. The spatio-temporal data related to wind turbines, such as wind speed, temperature, and air pressure, are integrated into fusion features through spatio-temporal fusion convolutional networks model for pre training to obtain a feature dataset. OWT is used to eliminate the effects of different prevailing winds, and STGrad-RAM is used to characterize the orientation and distance between wind turbine nodes and make the spatial features interpretable. The feature dataset is used for wind speed prediction. The experimental results show that the proposed method has achieved a significant improvement in wind speed prediction accuracy compared to the comparative models.
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SunView 深度解读

该风速预测技术对阳光电源的储能和风电产品具有重要应用价值。OWT-STGradRAM模型通过深度学习实现的高精度风速预测,可优化ST系列储能变流器的调度策略和PowerTitan储能系统的容量配置。在风电场应用中,该技术可提升风电并网点功率预测精度,有助于改进储能系统的功率平滑控制和调频调峰性能。模型的时空特征提取方法也可借鉴应用于iSolarCloud平台的智能预测模块,提升风储联合运行效率。建议将此技术集成到储能EMS和风电场监控系统中,实现储能设备的智能调度和经济运行优化。