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风电变流技术 储能系统 ★ 5.0

基于风速-功率相关趋势清洗方法保留稀疏密度下的正常功率曲线数据

Preserving Normal Power Curve Data With Sparse Density via Wind Speed-Power Correlation Trend Cleaning Method

作者 Hongrui Li · Shuangxin Wang · Jiading Jiang · Jun Liu · Junmei Ou · Ziang Zhou
期刊 IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy
出版日期 2024年9月
技术分类 风电变流技术
技术标签 储能系统
相关度评分 ★★★★★ 5.0 / 5.0
关键词 风电功率曲线 数据清洗 决策边界构建 正常数据保留 风电功率评估与预测
语言:

中文摘要

风况的随机性与发电受限导致风电功率曲线上正常数据分布稀疏,易在数据清洗中被误删,影响短期风电预测。为此,本文提出一种基于风速-功率相关趋势构建决策边界的方法以保留正常数据。首先利用风速与功率的正相关性,采用增量趋势搜索策略提取趋势曲线;进而引入散点运动趋势算法消除密集的受限功率数据;最后基于核函数构建3-sigma边界,抑制残余聚类异常值对边界的影响。在三个风电场共17台风机上的实验表明,该方法优于八种先进算法,尤其适用于正常数据稀疏场景。

English Abstract

Stochastic wind conditions and curtailment lead to a sparse distribution of normal data compared to outliers on the Wind Power Curve (WPC). This results in the removal of sparse normal data during the data cleaning process, hampering short-term wind power assessment and forecasting. To address this issue, this paper proposes a decision boundary construction method that utilizes the wind speed-power correlation trend to retain normal WPC data. First, leveraging the positive correlation between wind speed and power, an incremental trend search strategy is used to obtain the trend curve. Building on this curve, a scatter motion trend algorithm is introduced to eliminate densely clustered curtailed power data. Finally, a kernel function-based 3-sigma boundary construction method is suggested to further reduce the influence of remaining clustered outliers on decision boundaries. The proposed method is compared to eight advanced algorithms using data from 17 wind turbines across three wind farms, demonstrating superior performance, especially in scenarios with sparse normal data.
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SunView 深度解读

该风速-功率相关趋势清洗方法对阳光电源的风电储能混合系统具有重要应用价值。可直接应用于PowerTitan大型储能系统的风储联合调度优化,提升ST系列储能变流器在风电场景下的功率预测精度。该方法通过保留稀疏正常数据,有助于iSolarCloud平台实现更准确的风电功率预测和储能调度决策,对提升风储混合电站的经济性具有积极意义。同时,其数据清洗思路也可借鉴应用于光伏发电预测场景,优化SG系列逆变器的MPPT控制策略。这对完善阳光电源新能源发电预测与智能运维体系具有创新启发。