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考虑可再生能源不确定性的发电、输电与储能系统综合规划的区间随机规划
Interval-Stochastic Programming for Integrated Generation, Transmission, and Energy Storage System Planning Considering Uncertainty in Renewable Energy Sources
| 作者 | Deukyoung Lee · Dosung Kim · Sung-Kwan Joo |
| 期刊 | IEEE Access |
| 出版日期 | 2025年1月 |
| 技术分类 | 储能系统技术 |
| 技术标签 | 储能系统 |
| 相关度评分 | ★★★★★ 5.0 / 5.0 |
| 关键词 | 可再生能源 不确定因素 综合规划方法 储能系统 可持续电力系统 |
语言:
中文摘要
可再生能源扩张带来可持续电力系统,但波动性和不确定性造成供需失衡和缺乏灵活性问题。本文将可再生能源不确定性分为自然变异性和信息缺乏导致的不确定性。提出考虑可再生能源不确定性的发电机、输电线路和储能ESS综合规划新方法。引入区间随机规划方法,采用Benders分解的两阶段优化。应用双目标优化技术和最小后悔成本准则进行决策。基于韩国简化电力系统模型的数值结果证明所提方法有效性。结论强调ESS在综合扩展规划中的重要性,有效管理可再生能源不确定性并确保可持续电力系统。
English Abstract
In recent years, renewable energy sources have been expanding worldwide to create sustainable power systems. While the transition to sustainable system provides benefits such as reducing greenhouse gas emissions, it creates many problems within the system. For example, due to the volatility and uncertainty of renewable energy, problems such as an imbalance in supply and demand and a lack of flexibility are appearing. This paper focuses on these problems encountered or to be encountered globally. This paper divides the uncertainty of renewables into uncertainty due to natural variability and uncertainty due to lack of information. To address these challenges, this paper presents a new integrated planning method for generators, transmission lines, and ESS, considering uncertainties of renewable energy. An interval-stochastic programming method is introduced, using Benders decomposition method for 2-stage optimization. This paper applies a bi-objective optimization technique for decision making, and a minimum regret cost criterion. Furthermore, this paper demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method through numerical results based on a model of simplified Korean power system. The conclusion emphasizes the importance of ESS in integrated expansion planning to effectively manage the uncertainties of renewable energy and ensure a sustainable power system.
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SunView 深度解读
该储能综合规划方法对阳光电源源网荷储一体化项目规划有重要参考价值。阳光PowerTitan储能系统在新能源基地配置中需要考虑发电、输电和储能的协同优化。区间随机规划处理不确定性的方法可应用于阳光iSolarCloud平台的容量配置工具。Benders分解两阶段优化技术对阳光储能系统规模优化有借鉴意义。该研究强调ESS在不确定性管理中的关键作用,支撑阳光储能产品价值主张和市场推广。