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储能系统技术 ★ 5.0

考虑天气变化下可再生能源主导电网中空间分辨电池储能系统的经济技术规划

Techno-economic planning of spatially-resolved battery storage systems in renewable-dominant grids under weather variability

作者 Seyed Ehsan Ahmadi · Elnaz Kabir · Mohammad Fattahi · Mousa Marzbandc · Dongjun Lia
期刊 Applied Energy
出版日期 2025年1月
卷/期 第 401 卷
技术分类 储能系统技术
相关度评分 ★★★★★ 5.0 / 5.0
关键词 Renewable and load uncertainties modelled using 40 years of weather data.
语言:

中文摘要

摘要 当前的能源转型正在显著提高可再生能源(RES)在电力系统中的占比;然而,其间歇性和波动性带来了重大挑战,包括负荷削减和系统阻塞。本研究探讨了电池储能系统(BSS)在平衡电力供需、缓解上述问题中的作用。我们采用两阶段随机规划方法对电池的位置、容量和类型进行优化,其中第二阶段涵盖全年逐小时的运行决策。与以往研究不同,本文综合考虑了多种电池技术的完整技术与经济特性。纽约州(NYS)电力系统——当前正处于向高比例可再生能源发电转型的关键阶段——被作为本研究的案例。基于1980年至2019年的历史负荷与气象数据,我们通过样本均值近似方法刻画负荷与可再生能源发电的不确定性。研究结果表明,BSS可将可再生能源弃电率降低34%,同时减少21%的负荷削减,有助于提升电力系统的韧性,推动实现纽约州2030年能源目标。此外,采用BSS降低负荷削减和可再生能源弃电的成本并不随装机容量增加而线性上升,揭示了成本与可再生能源渗透率之间复杂的非线性关系。本研究为能源转型过程中电池储能系统的战略性部署提供了重要参考,有助于构建兼具成本效益与可靠性的电力系统,并评估纽约州2030年能源目标的可行性。

English Abstract

Abstract The ongoing energy transition is significantly increasing the share of renewable energy sources (RES) in power systems; however, their intermittency and variability pose substantial challenges, including load shedding and system congestion. This study examines the role of the battery storage system (BSS) in mitigating these challenges by balancing power supply and demand. We optimize the location, size, and type of batteries using a two-stage stochastic program, with the second stage involving hourly operational decisions over an entire year. Unlike previous research, we incorporate the comprehensive technical and economic characteristics of battery technologies. The New York State (NYS) power system, currently undergoing a significant shift towards increased RES generation, serves as our case study. Using available load and weather data from 1980 to 2019, we account for the uncertainty of both load and RES generation through a sample average approximation approach. Our findings indicate that BSS can reduce renewable curtailment by 34 % and load shedding by 21 %, contributing to a more resilient power system in achieving NYS 2030 energy targets. Furthermore, the cost of employing BSS for the reduction of load shedding and RES curtailment does not increase linearly with additional capacity, revealing a complex relationship between costs and renewable penetration. This study provides valuable insights for the strategic BSS deployment to achieve a cost-effective and reliable power system in the energy transition as well as the feasibility of the NYS 2030 energy targets.
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SunView 深度解读

该研究对阳光电源ST系列储能变流器和PowerTitan系统部署具有重要指导意义。研究验证了储能系统可降低34%弃风弃光和21%负荷削减,印证了我司储能解决方案在高比例可再生能源电网中的价值。其双阶段随机优化方法可应用于iSolarCloud平台,结合40年气象数据的不确定性建模,可优化我司储能系统的选址、容量配置和技术选型策略,提升GFM/GFL控制算法在极端天气下的鲁棒性,为电网侧储能项目提供精准的技术经济分析工具。