基于离散时间马尔可夫链的含微电网配电网可靠性评估

Microgrids can improve the reliability and resiliency of modern distribution systems. The stochasticity of local non-dispatchable distributed energy resources (NDDERs), combined with the time-dependency of battery energy storage systems (BESSs) and load shedding strategies (LSSs), complicates the reliability assessment of distribution networks embedded with microgrids. In this work, we propose a minimal cut-set method using a discrete-time Markov chain to perform the time-series adequacy assessment. Our method offers an alternative to sequential Monte Carlo simulations (SMCSs) to account for the stochasticity of NDDERs and the time-dependency of BESSs and LSSs. Case studies on modified IEEE-RTBS Bus2 and IEEE 123-Test Feeder systems assess the accuracy of the method when compared with SMCSs.